On the face of it, investment managers seem to be having a better time of it of late. The group has recovered from the April decline, when according to the Bank of America survey, sentiment towards the global asset management industry was at a 30 year low. The recovery since then means many are postingContinue reading “European Asset Management: Fast Forward Five Years”
Category Archives: Business
Out of Office? Whats’s Next for Dublin Office Property?
Property investors believe (hope) that they have seen the bottom of the Irish commercial property market. And commercial property portfolios in Ireland today are still essentially driven by the performance of the office sector. I looked at the property exposure of the big institutional funds, including pension funds, and the office component of these portfoliosContinue reading “Out of Office? Whats’s Next for Dublin Office Property?”
Irish Investment Managers: What’s Going On?
Asset Management is a great business. Though you might not know that from some of the numbers. Take a look at how many of the listed fund management groups have done in the UK so far this year compared to the average stock. Manager Share Performance Schroders -27% Aberdeen -20% Legal & General -11% M&GContinue reading “Irish Investment Managers: What’s Going On?”
So….you still want to be an Investment Manager
Asset Management should be a great business. If you’re successful, you can grow, scale up your business, while keeping your costs under control, and generate huge profits. Also the demand for your product looks set to grow persistently as pension and wealth flows increase globally. However all is not well in investment management – certainlyContinue reading “So….you still want to be an Investment Manager”
The next crisis will start with empty office buildings
The above headline ran in the Atlantic magazine last week in the US. Also, the Financial Times speaks of a “financial storm” bearing down on the US commercial property market. Many analysts are talking of commercial property as the biggest systemic risk in the US today and being the next shoe to drop. Is thereContinue reading “The next crisis will start with empty office buildings”
Could there be a Chinese Credit Suisse?
The Great Wall of China dates from the 7th century BC and is over 20,000 km in length. It has had a profound military, economic and political impact on China. But at times of global financial crisis, China also seems to have had a financial “great wall” protecting it from contagion. China’s economy in the 80’s.Continue reading “Could there be a Chinese Credit Suisse?”
US Economy 2023: The Consumer Conundrum
The US consumer seems to be on a solid footing today. Spending volumes increased in both January and February and look to be on course for a positive year overall in 2023. Spending is clearly helped by a red hot jobs market. January saw half a million new jobs created and while that pace willContinue reading “US Economy 2023: The Consumer Conundrum”
Can Investment Managers Manage?
At times of stress, investment managers’ actions may not be in investors’ best interests. Even before the trade press headlines spoke of record fund outflows and weak financial markets combining to create a winter for the investment management industry, fund managers, both big and small were falling over themselves to cut jobs.They still are. TheContinue reading “Can Investment Managers Manage?”
Pension Funds and the Big Question
Three Facts This year, 830 million people will go hungry. We waste 40% of food globally. Pension Funds can help. After steadily declining for a decade, world hunger is on the rise, affecting nearly 10% of people globally. Of the 830 million going hungry, 50 million are facing absolute famine. This set-back is driven largelyContinue reading “Pension Funds and the Big Question”
Will the US economy avoid a recession?
The “R” word continues to haunt our Global Economy. Europe is facing recession in 2023 as energy costs, and indeed energy availability, are threatened by the war in Ukraine. Rishi Sunak is facing a deep recession as a £40 billion gap in the UK balance sheet needs closing. Xi Jinping’s renewed commitment this week to aContinue reading “Will the US economy avoid a recession?”
Forget the economists – what they are saying on the Street?
As the second quarter company earnings season closes out, it provides a good window on to what’s actually happening on the ground in the US economy.Rather than listen to the economists and analysts, we can hear what the women and men who actually run companies, and have to report to shareholders, think where we areContinue reading “Forget the economists – what they are saying on the Street?”
Beyond the Beaches
Every evening, as the blue of the night darkens, the Paseo Maritimo, which winds its way from Marbella to Puerto Banus along the Spanish coastline, is once again thronged with locals and tourists, Spanish and international, as they stroll before or after dinner, incessantly chatting, catching up on the news of the day. The ambience isContinue reading “Beyond the Beaches”
Asset Management continues to deliver…………………certainly for the asset managers.
. In fairness, investors generally have also been enjoying good returns through this pandemic period.2021 will be another record year for the Asset Management industry.Markets have performed well, investors have poured record amounts into funds, and costs have been extremely well managed. Headlines about asset managers’ profits in the Financial Times ring with words likeContinue reading “Asset Management continues to deliver…………………certainly for the asset managers.”
Fund Management – Next Steps
It’s business as usual for fund managers – in fact it’s better than usual. Recovering markets and consistent positive funds flows have pushed global industry assets under management to a new peak of €93 trillion. That’s up 11% on the previous year. Closer to home European asset managers saw their assets up 5% to overContinue reading “Fund Management – Next Steps”
Double Dip
While we may gaze enviously at the pace of vaccine roll-outs in the UK or the US, so too might the European economy look enviously to the US at its pace of economic growth in the face of the pandemic. While economic forecasts are being revised up for the US, with some now suggesting a strongContinue reading “Double Dip”
Is Investment Management the Weakest Link?
In mid-2020, the Financial Times asked the question was investment management the weak link in the current economic/health crisis? The authors were thinking back to the role played by the banks in the 2008 crisis and the need to inject public money into a system which still hasn’t returned to being a growth driver. Now,Continue reading “Is Investment Management the Weakest Link?”
Visibility getting better – but companies aren’t waiting.
Company CEOs have been finding it difficult to provide guidance and clear business outlook in 2020 given the uncharted waters, but it’s been getting slightly better. Earlier in the year during the Q1 reporting season, almost 70% of US companies that normally guide analysts and the markets on what to expect, simply abandoned giving anyContinue reading “Visibility getting better – but companies aren’t waiting.”
Markets, Media and Money Trees
Every day in stock markets seems to be a tug of war between the medical facts and their implications for further lock-downs, and the sheer scale of fiscal and monetary action being announced, or in the course of being implemented. We have had the juggernaut move from mid-March when global equity markets bounced by aboutContinue reading “Markets, Media and Money Trees”
Scarred. What the Pandemic means for inequality.
The numbers amaze. Economies stopped and now as we get new data coming off such a pulverised base, the percentage growth numbers can dazzle on the upside. This can take forecasters by surprise – recent jobs numbers in the US are a good example, as are UK retail sales. Economic growth is a good thingContinue reading “Scarred. What the Pandemic means for inequality.”
Beyond GDP. Using other measures to fine tune our exit from economic lock-down.
At this point in the pandemic, what becomes very important is measuring the extent of economic revival as economies across the globe look to reopen and map any impact on the spread of the virus. Being able to measure economies is tough at the best of times but given the size of the shockContinue reading “Beyond GDP. Using other measures to fine tune our exit from economic lock-down.”
Tradewinds 